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How many subscribers does a subscription box service need to cover its costs?

This article was written by our expert who is surveying the industry and constantly updating business plan for a subscription box business.

Our business plan for a subscription box business will help you succeed in your project.

How many subscribers do you need for your subscription box service to not only cover costs but also start making a profit?

What's the average cost for each subscriber in a subscription box service?

How many subscribers do I need to break even?

What's the usual churn rate for subscription box services?

How much should I spend on marketing for each subscriber?

What's the average lifetime value of a subscription box subscriber?

How much should I budget for packaging each box?

What's the average cost to ship each box?

How much starting capital do I need for a subscription box service?

What's the typical gross margin for subscription box services?

How long does it usually take to become profitable with a subscription box service?

What's the average retention rate for subscription box services?

How many products should I include in each subscription box?

These are questions we frequently receive from entrepreneurs who have downloaded the business plan for a subscription box business. We’re addressing them all here in this article. If anything isn’t clear or detailed enough, please don’t hesitate to reach out.

The Right Formula to Determine Subscriber Numbers for Cost Coverage

  • 1. Identify fixed costs:

    Determine all fixed costs associated with running the subscription box service, such as rent, salaries, and utilities. These costs remain constant regardless of the number of subscribers.

  • 2. Identify variable costs per subscriber:

    Calculate the variable costs that change with the number of subscribers, such as the cost of goods sold (COGS) and shipping per box.

  • 3. Determine the subscription price:

    Set the price that subscribers will pay for each subscription box.

  • 4. Calculate the contribution margin per subscriber:

    Subtract the variable cost per subscriber from the subscription price to find the contribution margin per subscriber.

  • 5. Calculate the break-even point:

    Divide the total fixed costs by the contribution margin per subscriber to find the number of subscribers needed to cover costs.

  • 6. Analyze and adjust:

    Review the calculated break-even point and consider any adjustments needed in pricing, cost management, or subscriber acquisition strategies to ensure financial sustainability.

A Practical Example for Clarity

Adjust the bold numbers as needed and see how it works for your project.

To help you better understand, let’s take a fictional example. Imagine a subscription box service that delivers gourmet snacks to its subscribers. The company incurs several costs, including fixed costs and variable costs.

The fixed costs, which do not change with the number of subscribers, include rent, salaries, and utilities, totaling $10,000 per month. The variable costs, which depend on the number of subscribers, include the cost of goods sold (COGS) and shipping. Assume the COGS is $10 per box and shipping is $5 per box, making the total variable cost $15 per box.

The company charges $30 per subscription box. To determine the break-even point, where total revenue equals total costs, we need to calculate the number of subscribers required to cover these costs. The revenue per subscriber is $30, and the variable cost per subscriber is $15, resulting in a contribution margin of $15 per subscriber ($30 - $15).

The break-even point in terms of the number of subscribers is calculated by dividing the total fixed costs by the contribution margin per subscriber. Therefore, the break-even point is $10,000 / $15 = 667 subscribers. Thus, the subscription box service needs 667 subscribers to cover its costs and break even.

With our financial plan for a subscription box business, you will get all the figures and statistics related to this industry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average cost per subscriber for a subscription box service?

The average cost per subscriber for a subscription box service typically ranges from $10 to $30 per month, depending on the type of products included.

This cost includes product sourcing, packaging, shipping, and customer service expenses.

Understanding these costs is crucial for pricing your subscription box competitively while ensuring profitability.

How many subscribers are needed to break even?

The number of subscribers needed to break even depends on your fixed and variable costs, but a common target is between 500 and 1,000 subscribers.

This range allows you to cover initial setup costs, ongoing operational expenses, and marketing efforts.

Accurate financial forecasting is essential to determine your specific break-even point.

What is the typical churn rate for subscription box services?

The typical churn rate for subscription box services is around 5% to 10% per month.

High churn rates can significantly impact your subscriber base and revenue, making retention strategies vital.

Monitoring and reducing churn is crucial for maintaining a stable and growing subscriber count.

How much should be allocated to marketing per subscriber?

Marketing costs per subscriber can vary, but a common benchmark is $10 to $20 per acquisition.

Effective marketing strategies are essential to attract and retain subscribers while keeping acquisition costs manageable.

Allocating a sufficient budget to marketing can help scale your subscription box service efficiently.

What is the average lifetime value (LTV) of a subscription box subscriber?

The average lifetime value of a subscription box subscriber is typically $200 to $500.

Maximizing LTV involves enhancing customer experience, offering value, and implementing retention strategies.

Understanding LTV helps in making informed decisions about customer acquisition and retention investments.

How much should be spent on packaging per box?

Packaging costs for subscription boxes generally range from $1 to $3 per box.

Investing in quality packaging can enhance the unboxing experience and brand perception.

Balancing cost and quality is key to maintaining profitability while delivering a memorable experience.

What is the average shipping cost per box?

The average shipping cost per box for subscription services is typically $5 to $10.

Shipping costs can vary based on box size, weight, and destination, impacting overall expenses.

Negotiating rates with carriers and optimizing packaging can help reduce shipping costs.

How much initial capital is needed to start a subscription box service?

Initial capital requirements for starting a subscription box service can range from $10,000 to $50,000.

This capital covers product sourcing, packaging, marketing, and operational setup costs.

Careful budgeting and financial planning are essential to ensure a successful launch.

What is the average gross margin for subscription box services?

The average gross margin for subscription box services is typically 30% to 50%.

Maintaining a healthy gross margin is crucial for covering fixed costs and achieving profitability.

Optimizing product sourcing and pricing strategies can help improve gross margins.

How long does it take to reach profitability for a subscription box service?

Reaching profitability for a subscription box service can take 6 to 18 months, depending on growth and cost management.

Achieving profitability requires a focus on subscriber acquisition, retention, and cost control.

Regular financial analysis and strategic adjustments are necessary to expedite the path to profitability.

What is the average retention rate for subscription box services?

The average retention rate for subscription box services is around 70% to 80% annually.

High retention rates are crucial for sustaining and growing your subscriber base over time.

Implementing effective retention strategies can significantly impact your service's long-term success.

How many products should be included in each subscription box?

The number of products in each subscription box typically ranges from 4 to 7 items.

Offering a variety of products can enhance perceived value and customer satisfaction.

Balancing product quantity and quality is essential to meet customer expectations and manage costs.

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